Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 10.956111 12.211838 13.566249 15.137842 16.913974 18.862125 21.164971
2025-06-22 8.882105 10.537743 12.450630 14.832522 17.730555 21.156731 25.535645
2025-06-29 7.289976 9.126722 11.379279 14.363628 18.241354 23.146843 29.881828
2025-07-06 6.165722 8.097314 10.595980 14.097623 18.929865 25.438918 34.998189
2025-07-13 5.511972 7.565811 10.357600 14.482010 20.508674 29.131408 42.653536
2025-07-20 4.984469 7.122498 10.163506 14.880618 22.151474 33.164026 51.552315
2025-07-27 4.488328 6.650021 9.853405 15.048704 23.460831 36.896205 60.697783
2025-08-03 3.991030 6.106783 9.359102 14.849788 24.147220 39.737457 68.916379
2025-08-10 3.563942 5.615707 8.877178 14.590895 24.676995 42.379646 77.283001
2025-08-17 3.202601 5.184449 8.433813 14.325659 25.139647 44.956337 86.018512
2025-08-24 2.910982 4.833144 8.077747 14.155865 25.734262 47.849708 95.939552
2025-08-31 2.676886 4.552325 7.806896 14.096800 26.515449 51.209540 107.505170
2025-09-07 2.530095 4.413368 7.779096 14.504473 28.305055 56.972004 125.799594
2025-09-14 2.325573 4.148322 7.491620 14.373214 28.990201 60.572415 140.062174
2025-09-21 2.118259 3.856314 7.120901 14.026212 29.169477 63.111496 152.415193
2025-09-28 1.953553 3.627701 6.846000 13.837970 29.662184 66.447285 167.631465
2025-10-05 1.871713 3.550882 6.860822 14.264266 31.607804 73.577894 194.878934
2025-10-12 1.796185 3.478375 6.875415 14.691136 33.627126 81.296710 226.002242
2025-10-19 1.704811 3.364148 6.790259 14.880890 35.105204 87.933554 255.905538
2025-10-26 1.590034 3.190049 6.559007 14.700531 35.626958 92.130804 279.483771
2025-11-02 1.480914 3.017717 6.313824 14.455246 35.943109 95.831250 302.600697
2025-11-09 1.381100 2.856384 6.076817 14.199877 36.193934 99.406324 326.452774
2025-11-16 1.296759 2.721474 5.886177 14.036516 36.673675 103.770944 354.593127